After following up their losing start to their UEFA Nations League (UNL) Group A4 campaign with a win, Denmark will be looking to leapfrog table-toppers Portugal.
Match News and Current Form
After failing to qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, Denmark’s UNL prospects were looking somewhat bleak when they suffered a 3-2 defeat in their 2026/27 opener to Norway, but they showed character to bounce back with a 2-0 win over Wales. Another victory here would see them take a big stride towards retaining their place in League A - where they have been from 2020/21 - and will benefit their push for a top-two spot, but after finishing second in their group in the last three editions, they will have their sights set on a more ambitious target. Playing at home seems to give them a great advantage, as they are unbeaten in their last eight such games (W6, D2).
Two-time UNL winners Portugal have begun the defence of their crown strongly, grinding out 1-0 and 2-1 victories over Wales and Norway respectively. That means the Seleção das Quinas’ only defeat in their last 12 matches was their last-16 loss to Spain at the World Cup (W8, D3), while new head coach Jorge Jesus, who took over shortly after that disappointment, has now won 24 of his last 27 games in the dugout (D1, L2). Portugal have proved themselves to be dangerous on the road recently too, winning five of their last seven away matches (D1, L1).
Head-to-Head History
Portugal have dominated the H2H history (W12, D2, L4), with the last meeting between the two nations seeing them come from behind on aggregate to reach the 2024/25 UNL semi-finals.
Hot Stats and Streaks
Twelve of Denmark’s last 13 goals came after half-time.
Denmark failed to score in just one of their last nine internationals.
Portugal haven't conceded before half-time in their last six games.
Just one of Portugal’s last nine matches was decided by a 2+ goal margin.
Key Players to Watch and Missing Players
After scoring against Wales, Denmark’s Gustav Isaksen will be up for this game, as eight of his last ten goals for club or country have come at home. Aiming to steal the headlines will be Portugal’s matchwinner against Norway, Gonçalo Ramos, who has now scored his last eight goals after half-time.
Denmark will be without Patrick Dorgu after he suffered a suspected hamstring injury against Wales, while Portugal don't seem to have any fresh absentees.
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Betting Analysis
Given Denmark and Portugal’s respective attacking and defensive habits recently, backing both teams to score seems an obvious selection here.
Author: Peter Stavrinou
