Houston Dynamo face St. Louis City at Shell Energy Stadium in MLS. The bookmakers' odds offered on this match give Houston Dynamo a 37% win probability and St. Louis City 36%, leaving little between the sides.
Current Form - Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo are fifth in the Western Conference with 51 points from 33 matches, having recorded 14 wins, nine draws and 10 losses with a 43-42 goal record. Their last league match ended in a 3-1 defeat away to Portland Timbers. Across their last five matches, they have one win, three draws and one loss, scoring 1.4 goals per match compared with 1.3 across the season and conceding 1.6 compared with 1.3.
Current Form - St. Louis City
St. Louis City sit fourth in the Western Conference on 51 points, with 14 wins, nine draws and 10 losses from 33 matches and a 58-48 goal record. Their last league match was a 0-1 home loss to San Diego FC. The last five matches brought one draw and four losses; during that sequence they scored 0.8 goals per match against a season rate of 1.8, while conceding 2.0 compared with 1.5 for the campaign.
Head-to-Head Record
The last five meetings have averaged 2.4 goals. Houston Dynamo won two, drew one and lost two of their last five meetings with St. Louis City. Houston Dynamo were unbeaten in their last three meetings at home against St. Louis City, a run of one win and two draws. Earlier this season, St. Louis City beat Houston Dynamo 2-1 with St. Louis City at home.
Key Players to Watch and Missing Players
For Houston Dynamo, midfielder Mateusz Bogusz has eight goals and two assists in 32 games, while forward Nick Markanich has one assist in 11 games and defender Lucas Halter has one goal in 21 games. Guilherme, Houston Dynamo's top scorer, has 16 goals and eight assists but is a doubt for this match because of a lower-body injury; Franco Negri and Hector Herrera are also doubts.
St. Louis City have midfielder Carlo Holse with six goals and two assists in 13 games, forward Sang-Bin Jeong with three goals and two assists in 24 games, and forward Alexandru Matan with five assists in 12 games. Rafael Navarro scored two goals in his last five matches.
Key Numbers
↔️ Expected goals (xG): Houston Dynamo 1.13 per match vs St. Louis City 1.78 per match
Houston Dynamo
➖ Big chance conversion: 26% (2nd worst, league average 38%)
➖ Touches in opposition box: 18.3 per match (2nd worst, league average 24.8)
➖ Errors leading to shot: 0.93 per match (2nd worst, league average 0.50)
St. Louis City
➕ Big chance conversion: 59% (best in the league, league average 38%)
➕ Shots on target conceded: 3.1 per match (best in the league, league average 4.8)
Match Notes
Agustin Resch has four yellow cards in the last 10 matches and appeared in five of them for Houston Dynamo. Tomas Ostrak has one red card for St. Louis City, received three matches ago.
Betting Insights
The odds put the probability of over 2.5 goals at 57% and the probability of both teams scoring at 61%.
Goals implied by the odds: 3.0
These figures come from the odds bookmakers offered on this match, read two days before kickoff.
This content was generated using AI.
